March 18, 2008: The street wanted a full percentage point rate cut but the Fed only gave them 3/4, Wall St. cheered anyway with the Dow closing up over 400 points. The Nasdaq and the S&P 500 vaulted 4.2%. Volume was slightly lower on the NYSE spoiling a follow-through day for the DOW. The pundits on CNBC are cheering the end of the credit crisis. I think we may be just beginning.
Oil got back all of yesterday’s losses and was up 3.7% to $109.42. Gold closed up $1.70 to $1004.30. Banks and brokers rallied hard. Lehman Bros. got back yesterday’s massive losses and closed up over 43%. FC Stone also got back its massive losses closing up over 44%.
If the Federal Reserve plans to bail out every major financial institution that’s in trouble this could well run into the trillions of dollars. With real estate prices collapsing 20% since this summer in southern California and sizable losses in other ‘bubble’ areas like Florida, Nevada, Arizona, etc., this is threatening to take down the financial system as we know it.
The Fed is also signaling that it will do what ever it takes and will add more liquidity if needed. Will this ‘tsunami of liquidity’ be enough to help the $11 trillion US mortgage market? Can it save scores of shaky banks, brokerages and over-leveraged hedge-funds like Carlyle Capital ($21 billion fund who used 32:1 leverage!) from imploding?
CRAMER: “BEAR STEARNS IS NOT IN TROUBLE”
