MARCH 5, 2008: Commodities led the way again. The Nasdaq was up 0.6% making this 2 days of gains in a row for the markets. It appears that the index is headed up to test its 21-day moving average at around 2300.
Commodities continued their bull market run with oil shooting up $5 to over $104 a barrel on supply shortages and flat Saudi production. The spike in crude also sent gold and silver up to new highs. Gold actually hit the illusive $1000 an ounce milestone on the June futures contract today. The sinking dollar hit all-time lows again.
Solar, steel, metals, gold/silver, and oil/gas stocks were strong while banks, financial, and insurance stocks were weak.
JA Solar vaulted 9%. Sunpower, First Solar, So. Peru Copper, Suntech, and Yamana Gold gained 5%. Research In Motion lost 3%.
Here are the top 10 leading groups: Fertilizers, Gold/Silver, Oil/Gas Producers, Farm Machinery, Ores, Steel, Solar Energy, Agricultural Ops, Oil/Gas Drillers, and Mining Machinery. We have to ask ourselves if this is really a stock market rally or a commodities rally? Is inflation really taking off globally evidenced by soaring food, energy, gold, and raw materials prices. I think so.
The stock market indexes have tested their down trending 50-day moving averages from an ‘overbought’ position and failed. IBD has now switched from ‘Market in a Confirmed Rally’ to ‘Rally Under Pressure.’ Gold, silver, grains, and oil are all moving higher in very definite up trends. We may be witnessing a ‘disconnect’ between commodities and stocks.
It’s best to stay on the sidelines in stock markets like this and not get sucked into ‘leaderless’ bear markets. Patience, Grasshopper! More at www.goldenticker.com
CNN: The Next Great Depression Is On It’s Way!
Tags: bank colllapse, bank failures, cnn, depression, hyper inflation, inflation, jim rogers, nouriel roubini, Peter Schiff, recession
May 16, 2008 at 12:02 pm
Great post.
Personally, I’m betting big in the solar sector. I believe it will be huge in the future, with rising oil prices. I’m currently holding ESLR, JASO, SOLF and WFR, and considering entering in either ASTI or DSTI.
Stay safe, stops are in, emotions are out!
July 3, 2008 at 10:39 am
dollar is going down day after day. is there even a little hope left for it to become stable again?